Stand for common sense

Today there was yet another meagre protest demonstration in the Hague against the corona measures, and in particular social distancing.

I vote we have a demonstration in support of the measures, complete with face masks and correct distancing.

It is not difficult to find a handful of people to demonstrate against something, but these renegades are grabbing too many headlines.

Corona has not yet been beaten. Figures worldwide show that July is shaping up to be the worst yet. That corona infections in the Netherlands have been reduced in the last few months is all due to the lockdown and social distancing. We have to make sure that relaxing rules does not reverse that trend.

I regard the initiative to publicly protest against the measures an insult to all those like me who have done their best to follow the rules. It is clear that the next milestone will be some kind of medical intervention, and that we will probably have to wait around 6 months or more for that. So be it.

Private action

Private blood tests for antibodies are “not presently helpful”, according to Scotland’s national clinical director, Prof Jason Leitch. “My advice is to only use it for research and surveillance, so I would avoid private serology testing if I were you,” he said, in answer to a question from a reporter.

I disagree with him. I took one of these tests because I wanted to know if my heavy lingering cold at the end of February might possibly have been Covid-19. I had to pay for the test (€70) but it came back negative for antibodies.

The point that prof Leitch is missing is that governments, and specifically health authorities, cannot help the feeling of impotency people feel when faced with the realities of the corona virus. If people want to spend their own money on a test to give them the feeling that they are at least doing something, then let them.

I was sufficiently reassured by the background information on the test I applied for, and it involved going to a test ‘street’ set up in the car park of a local hotel. High profile. I do not regard my decision as either reckless or pointless. It was my money and that is the way I chose to spend it.

Lunacy – part 2

Today, Thursday 25th June 2020, there was a hearing on the application for an injunction against the government by the ‘virus mania’ group. It was broadcast live online and I caught part of it. I heard the last 15 minutes of the plaintiff’s case and the rest of the proceedings.

The two main figures behind the virus mania group led the challenge, and appeared to do so in a far from polished performance. Towards the end they demonstrated behaviour reminiscent of a spoilt child – not to put too fine a point on it – and concluded by invoking their right to substitution on the grounds of bias.

They challenged the government’s use of ‘measures’ on the grounds that they were undemocratic and had unproven value, yet apart from the closure of schools, all the other measures had been advice on the part of the government, albeit backed by powers enabling the police to enforce them and prosecute or issue fines to those ignoring the rules.

The defence made a good point in stating that the request for the injunction failed to demonstrate which constitutional rights had been infringed by which measures. Even I could see that sweeping statements by the plaintiffs were not going to win them their injunction request.

I am forced into the conclusion that they knew this already. They could have prepared their arguments with concrete examples but they did not. What they achieved was simply publicity. Publicity for what? I am somewhat afraid that when you compare their performance in court with the level necessary to challenge the State, their only motive was to fuel anarchism.

The government has done its best to issue rules and advice for the whole nation in order to mitigate the threat posed by the corona virus. It may be that they overreacted on certain points and erred on the side of caution, but the Virus Mania group did not focus on any specific points. Instead, all they wanted to do was split public opinion, and thus the consential basis for the measures.

In my book that is a cheap attack on the government of the nation whose only demonstrable aim has been to reduce the effects of the pandemic in this country.

As I write this, the courts first have to decide on the motion for substitution, before the whole three-ringed circus begins again. In my opinion this is a misuse of the court system, although I would still rather see such nonsense played out in court than on the streets.

To be continued!

Lunacy?

There is a movement in the Netherlands with a name that roughly translates as ‘virus mania’. They basically proclaim that all corona measures are unnecessary and should cease immediately. They even suggest that our basic human rights are being infringed.

They suggest that the corona pandemic is nothing worse than a normal mild flu pandemic.

It will come as no surprise to those that know me that I strongly disagree with their conclusions. They are based on an agenda of political opposition – surprise, surprise.

Whilst I accept that the science is not yet completely clear, that in itself is hardly surprising with this variant of the corona virus which was completely unknown until the turn of the year and most certainly behaves differently to other pandemic viruses in the past. The after effects of a Covid-19 illness are also more severe than from the flu.

To advocate the cessation of all measures is entirely reckless and fills me with fear. Whilst the measures may yet prove to have been over-cautious, pretending no measures are necessary is irresponsible.

Avoiding physical contact with others when we do not know if they might be carrying the infection, and keeping a respectful distance so that we don’t breath in the infected droplets others are breathing out is the basis of keeping this virus at bay. It is common sense.

Lockdown, in a sensible and proportionate form, is a sensible policy. The term ‘lockdown’ is unfortunate since it has connotations of prison and curfew. The Dutch government’s attempt to temper the expression by calling it an ‘intelligent lockdown hasn’t really had much effect.

Social distancing is sensible, although I respect the right of those who choose to ignore it. However, in doing so, they are increasing the risks for those more vulnerable to the consequences of Covid-19 such as myself. Doctors have already discovered that around a third of corona ICU patients have sustained permanent lung damage as a result of the virus and

For a government trying to navigate a country through the perils of a pandemic, it isn’t a question of following a map with clearly defined coordinates but more like trying to steer a raft on a stretch of wild water.

With that in mind I will publish this post and work on part 2 which comments on the hearing held today for an injunction.

Standing still

Current demonstrations in sympathy with the ‘Black Lives Matter’ movement have found an unfortunate focus in the many statues of famous figures from our past.

As I write, a demonstration in London today has prompted the boxing in of the statue of Churchill in Parliament Square, and a comment from his granddaughter that maybe the statue might have to be permanently moved to a museum.

I have no wish to deny that Churchill held views which are unpalatable. Nonetheless, his greatest achievement was his leadership of the nation during the second world war against march of Hitler’s armies. Without that leadership, I think it is fair to say that Britain would not have emerged from the war as a free and democratic nation, and the freedom of other neighbouring countries like France, Belgium and the Netherlands would also have been questionable.

At his best, Churchill motivated and focused the British spirit at the height of the European conflict. He did have feet of clay though, but is that enough reason to erase his image from public view? I hope not.

Very few people in history can be said to have completely risen above the ‘human condition’. Mother Theresa is the example often quoted. Should our public spaces only be filled with images of her?

Many attempts are made to try and repair the damage of the past. Formal apologies by governments or national leaders, reparations and the like have been tried. How far back do you go in history?

Shouldn’t the focus be on learning the lessons of history rather than trying to rewrite it? I went to a Grammar School but even there back then history was regarded as a dry subject that nobody really wanted to take. Having to learn lists of dates didn’t help either.

History is part of education, and learning helps mankind become better and avoid the mistakes of the past. We cannot change what has happened in the past, but we can change ourselves and our attitudes. ‘All Lives Matter’ should be the slogan; anything less promotes exclusivity somewhere in the chain, and that is a recipe for unrest and disaster.

It’s not fair!

These are unprecedented times – we all know that. Governments in various countries have had to improvise in order to put rules and guidelines in place designed to slow the spread and effect of the corona virus.

Social distancing is one of those measures, and rules about congregating in the open. There are fines payable if such rules are disregarded. In each country, the legal mechanism enabling this is different, of course, and depending on the country and its policing methods, such a fine may or may not be the ultimate sanction.

Let’s be clear – these rules are intended for all our benefit, to slow and stop the progress of what can be a deadly pandemic virus. New Zealand has just announced they are able to lift the restrictions because the measures have worked.

Here in the Netherlands more and more people are ignoring the letter of the rules. You can see it in the streets where it is clear that groups of people that do not live in the same household congregate and chat without remaining 1,5 meter distancing. Demonstrations in the wake of the death in Minneapolis of a black man who was pinned to the ground by his neck for more than 8 minutes by a white policeman have also led to situations where large groups of people have not maintained social distancing.

What I find more disturbing are the attempts to have fines declared void because the powers that be are not applying sanctions equitably across the board. This is like requesting a speeding fine being voided because there were other drivers breaking the limit who were not caught and fined.

As a kid I was often reminded of the maxim ‘two wrongs don’t make a right’. There may be mathematical or juridical ways to disprove that maxim but any attempt to escape prosecution on those grounds is in my view morally wrong and an affront to those who do stick to the rules.

The Dutch mentality is grounded on the establishment of rules and the tacit agreement that ultimately they have to be respected. However, there is also a deep sense that rules are fine ‘as long as they don’t apply to me.’

In the case of the special rules put in place to help safeguard the most vulnerable against the possibly severe consequences of Covid-19, it is disheartening to see others disregard them. Those we see from afar congregating in the streets or attending demonstrations may well be the people serving us in shops when we next have to buy in vital supplies, or at least part of the same household.

I find that worrying.

Tourist Information disappears

In my town of Breda in the Netherlands, the decision has been taken to withdraw the Tourist Information Bureau (VVV). I personally think it’s a shame, and I think it is a symbol of our almost unconditional surrender to the conquering internet forces.

Logistically the VVV had an ideal location up to a couple of years ago. There is a broad avenue leading from the station to the town centre. All visitors to the town arriving on regional buses or trains walk down that road. Tourist Information needs passing trade – and that is what it had. It probably occupied premises that were far too expensive, but I am sure a slightly more modest option could have been found in the same street.

Fortunately when the new station building was opened they didn’t use one of the shops in there. The design of the concourse was apparently inspired by a rabbit warren and half of the potential passing trade would not even have found their way to a VVV there. When town planners back in the 1870s chose for a design including a number of avenues some 30 meters wide, the Willemstraat, leading up from the station, became an impressive pedestrian entrance to the town.

Aside from the loss of the prime location it had, coupled with the disastrous branch down an alley off the town square, the blame is being put on internet. Why are we just lying down in defeat? Why hasn’t a proper case been made for a continuation of a fundamental service for those just visiting the town?

Apparently the local authority had to subsidise the bureau. Quite right too! We are talking about a ‘shop’ with two full time members of staff; I am quite certain that it was amongst the smaller items on the council budget. Such a subsidy would not have been 100% anyway, and the shop generated income of its own anyway.

A Tourist Information Bureau is a useful facility. The staff provide local knowledge and booking facilities, and sell souvenirs visitors like to take away with them. Can internet provide these services? Yes. Should we let internet take over these services? No!

You might just as well argue that visiting a place in person is superfluous because the best pictures and descriptions are available on the net. We should stop glorifying the internet and remind ourselves that people need physical, not just virtual experiences.

I give up!

There is a limit to how much attention I ought to pay to what is happening in my former homeland. The British Prime Minister who banked much political currency when he himself fell victim to the corona virus is spending the balance hand over fist. Sticking up for his political adviser, imposing belated quarantine measures on all those arriving in the UK from abroad and failing on major targets in the fight against corona, supporting a physical return to Westminster already for all MPs, all of these developments are draining his bank account, politically speaking.

So I give up. There is little point in adding my voice of criticism. It is not as if I needed any more reasons not to move back to the UK. From now on I will just confine myself to news that impacts on my situation or world news I want to comment on.

When will we be ‘safe’ from corona?

As of June 2020, the only safety measures available to those considered vulnerable are social distancing coupled with restraint as far as venturing outside the home is concerned.

The big question is when there will be a medical solution available to protect us.

The best available answers do not make for good reading.

There are three avenues being pursued. The first is the re-purposing of existing vaccines, modified to ‘code’ the corona virus. There are trials taking place in, amongst other places, Oxford, England. There are indications that they may have an effective artificial vaccine by the end of the summer 2020.

Antibody infusions may be possible by the end of this year, but that is perhaps optimistic.

A proper vaccine will take most of next year to bring on to the market. In other words, not even in time for inclusion in the flu-jab 2021.

At the moment where I live, around 1 in 400 people are currently infected with the corona virus. If you come in contact with one of those people, and they cough or sneeze anywhere near you, you may pick up the virus. It may take until the end of 2021 – next year – before you can reasonably and effectively protect yourself against infection.

In anyone’s book, that’s a long time to hold your breath!

I am one of those people that likes to visualise how much longer something will last. The lockdown has lasted for 2,5 months so far. In those terms, we are probably not even half way towards the possible introduction of an artificial vaccine, and only a quarter of the way towards the possible introduction of antibody infusions. We will have to wait 9 or 10 times longer than we have already spent in lockdown before a vaccine is available.

The other thing we cannot forget is that although these medical interventions will not be introduced until it has been demonstrated that they work, the one piece of information we will not yet have is for how long vaccinations or antibody treatments provide protection. Such information is only available retrospectively; it cannot be predicted in the case of a virus that was not even known about until the end of last year.

Will we need an annual booster? Or possibly every 6 months? Hopefully at the most once a year – that at least would work with the current annual flu jab.

What I have noticed is that in order to keep up to date with the different developments it is necessary to actively look for the information. The media has already started scaling back its reporting, but fortunately we live in an age where searching the internet is easy.

For those of us who know that will almost certainly suffer complications following a corona infection, keeping abreast of the news, including how people around us are sticking to the rules, is important. The consequences of the measures needed to try and avoid infection will be with us for a period of years, not just months. In some respects, it remains necessary that the casualty figures and analyses constantly figure in the news. It is only when people are reminded that corona has not yet been beaten that the necessity of social distancing can be impressed on society as a whole.

Viewing from afar

One of the fascinating aspects of living abroad is the insight it gives you into how politics work in different countries.

You view your own country’s system in a different light as you get older, but watching it from afar and listening to commentary from journalists local to where you are living adds an incredible dimension to that view.

This weekend a Dutch journalist commented that the Brits were not only a bit slow to realise the oncoming threat of corona, but seemed to display the opinion that the threat would stop at Calais.

Eavesdropping is a very revealing pastime. In this case, I can completely understand the comment. It is completely in line with the still widely held feeling in the UK that Europe is a separate entity. Very little news about what happens on the mainland of Europe reaches Brits, and when it does, a lot of people are not really interested.

Most ex-pats will experience sooner or later that they no longer feel completely comfortable sharing their experiences of living abroad with Brits back home. Although many Brits like their continental holidays, a two or three week stay in a Spanish resort hardly endues them with a feeling of being European.

Corona marched across the globe from China to Europe, with mini explosions in Italy and Austria. When other neighbouring countries were already preparing and announcing measures to curb the spread, the UK was only mildly interested in this successor to the Spanish Flu, as they regarded it. A leading British scientist has also pointed to the delay in cancelling certain large sporting events as having been responsible for an increased spread of the new virus in those areas. The Cheltenham Festival (horse racing) and Liverpool’s Champions League match against Atletico Madrid went ahead even when other countries were already cancelling such mass gatherings.

Today (25th May 2020), one of the Prime Minister’s chief advisers, Dominic Cummings went on record to say he did not regret disregarding travel advice introduced by the British government he advises to drive his wife and child over 500 km to be closer to family that could help look after said child.

Mr Cummings is widely disliked by the British public already. He is regarded as ruthless and cares nothing for normal conventions. He arrives at 10 Downing Street by the front door dressed in jeans and scruffy shirts when all the other visitors dress to reflect their roles in the nation’s affairs.

His apology today was not an apology at all. He accepts that some will disagree with his actions (read: many!) but is quite shameless with regard to his behaviour. The press in the UK is making much of the choices made by this little-liked adviser who was also known as the architect behind the Brexit campaign and Boris Johnson’s leadership bid.

Governments have a vested interest in maintaining public support for distancing measures which from a legal point of view were hastily cobbled together in a way that could later be challenged in the courts. Without such support, the number of people ignoring such common sense rules could make like difficult and more risky for others that have little choice than to remain careful until medical interventions and preventions are widely available.