The corona app

There is a lot of confusing information emerging about the corona app that has been introduced in the Netherlands.

It was commissioned months ago, and after a false start, a privacy-safe version was produced. Basically, it works like this: if you go for a corona test, you also indicate if you have the corona app working on your telephone. If you test positive, a coded signal is sent to your phone so that your app knows you are positive at this moment.

The app uses the Bluetooth signal to broadcast this information anonymously. Anybody else using the app will pick up that information via their Bluetooth connection if they are within 10 meters of your phone. The strength of the signal is used by the app to determine the approximate distance. If they remain close to you for more than 15 minutes, then they receive a warning on their telephone. They cannot see who the person was that triggered that warning.

Bluetooth is not completely reliable for this purpose. Clothing can mask the strength of the signal, but conversely the signal can sometimes pass through glass or thin walls. The app judges the distance between the phones, not their owners; if two phones are lying close on a table but the users remain well distanced and even masked, the app might react over cautiously.

Not everyone is able to use the app either. On iPhones, for example, a certain minimum operating system release is needed. My slightly older phone cannot upgrade to that operating system, and I would need to replace my phone for the app to work.

Today came the news that around 10.000 people a day receive a warning via their corona app. Some 3.7 million users have downloaded the app; there is no way of knowing how many are actually using it. The national use of the app was launched only a couple of weeks ago.

The advice is: if you receive a warning on the app, go into quarantine. That is a lot of people every day suddenly withdrawing from their jobs because an app told them to. Until they show any symptoms, they are not eligible for a test, although there are signs the government may change that.

Dry runs and anecdotes have shown that a small percentage of the warnings were not justified; the conclusion is that around 70% of the warnings were correct and another 20% were possibly triggered by someone between 1.5 and 3 meters away. That leaves up to a possible 10% where the threshold for the app was not reached. That could mean that several hundred people every day are told by the app to go into quarantine when they do not need to.

This particular app works on the basis of proximity. Earlier apps in other countries were designed to assist tracing. Where an outbreak occurred in a particular place, users of the app who, retrospectively, had been in that place could be traced and tested. Such an app uses GPS data and not Bluetooth technology. Of course, there are privacy issues associated with the storing of an individual’s GPS movements, but it is a different approach.

Today also I heard the first radio commercial encouraging people to use the Dutch app. Fortunately though, the long awaited app is no longer the focus of the battle against corona. Social distancing remains the core message, and I agree with that.

For myself, I am not going to get the app; I have no intention of replacing my iPhone any time soon in order to do so. I will leave others to decide if the app is reliable enough for them to risk using.

We wish you a merry Christmas …

Christmas is two months away as I write this. In his press moment yesterday, the Dutch Prime Minister declined to give advice about corona and Christmas – yet. Probably because it is a bit early still, and we have yet to have Halloween, St Martin and St Nicholas (31st October, 11th November and 6th December (or the evening before), respectively).

The Outbreak Management Team, a group of scientists that advises the cabinet on the medical facts and statistics on corona, has already tabled their view that Christmas will need to be celebrated in small groups this year.

A prominent UK BBC broadcaster said in a recently published interview that she would have 7 people in her home for Christmas, even though the rule looks likely to be a maximum of 6 there. This week she apologised for her rash comments – no doubt under pressure from her bosses – and said that she would abide by whatever rule was in place when the time comes.

Imagine a driver saying they would drive on the correct side of the road most of the time, but on Sundays they would decide for themselves which side to drive on!

Actually, for some people, the restrictions on numbers will be a blessing in disguise. How many dread the annual invasion of in-laws and other estranged family members, I wonder! But I digress.

In Scotland, the First Minister had long promised that university students would be able to travel home for Christmas with their families, but in the meantime worries about so many students travelling on public transport at the same time have emerged.

Students living in halls of residence are at particular risk of picking up corona; students in general often congregate for parties and evenings of drinking. Funnel large groups of them through stations and trains on their way home for the holidays, trying to make sure they all wear masks and social distance, and I leave the rest to your imagination.

Traditional Christmases see several generations getting together for the big day. Grandparents – at high risk – meeting up with grandchildren, themselves at low risk but quite infectious.

Even if we have succeeded in coming down from the second wave by the end of December, I can guarantee there will be a noticeable spike in January. If it were ethical to do so, I would put money on it!

There is a small but vocal minority in various countries, fuelled by social media, claiming that corona is one big hoax. When enough of such followers ignore the rules, it literally undermines the efforts of the rest of us to drive corona back.

A local councillor in the UK was recently quoted as saying she didn’t believe corona was real because nobody she knew had died from it. She cited a friend of hers, a nurse at a Nightingale hospital, who had yet to see any patients at all! I should add that Nightingale hospitals are temporary hospitals set up in the UK during the first wave to provide overflow beds; these largely remained unused, partly because of insufficient staffing.

At a time when so much emphasis is given to ensuring everyone gets a good education, and when information from around the world is available to us at our fingertips, I cannot get my head around the fact that some people remain unconvinced about the very existence of corona, let alone the dangers.

Christmas for me will be spent at home with my lodger. Neither of us have immediate family that would have descended on us, and we do not anticipate any other guests. It will be the two of us. The place will have decorations and a tree, and there will be lights and candles. I am going to make a number of the traditional Christmas food items instead of buying them this year; now I am retired I have time to do that. We will exchange presents, watch the King’s speech (NL) and the Queen’s speech (UK) and make sure we have some games and films we can enjoy. There will be services in my local church, albeit with reduced numbers – at the moment pegged at 30. My seat there is guaranteed since I am the organist!

In other words, I am going to make the best of it, and if I can, so can the rest of us.

Despicable

Today brought the news that the corona test facility in Breda has been vandalised, and that staff there have been intimidated while on duty.

A new testing ‘street’ was recently set up close to the main area hospital, to replace the facility housed in the car-park of the local football stadium.

Even before it opened, street signs directing you to the location had been variously daubed with slogans like ‘corona is fake’. Now that graffiti has become worse and physical intimidation used by irresponsible people apparently unconvinced by the existence of corona.

With cases signalled in virtually every country on the globe, and hospitals full to overflowing in certain places with patients suffering from Covid-19, I find it difficult to see how you can provide more evidence for the existence of corona.

What is worrying is that a very small minority are not only openly flaunting the rules, but are taking to vandalism as a means of venting their discontent.

Street demonstrations, a cherished right in this country, apparently are not enough for these hooligans. Civil disobedience, a grey area at best, is increasingly becoming the order of the day. Physically attacking parts of the health care system there to protect and treat the sick is going way too far.

What worries me is that the police do not have the numbers to cope with such outbreaks of civil disobedience. This country is not used to seeing a constable on duty just to keep order, but that is what will become necessary if this level of aggression continues. The winter is only just beginning. We have some long dark months ahead, with only a muted Christmas celebration this year to raise our spirits.

Those intent on playing the victim of mandated restrictions are going to become increasingly vocal and active, and public order is going to become a real issue in the months to come. Mark my words!

My clever meter!

The day before yesterday, the engineer came to replace my electricity meter with a new ‘clever’ one. Ok, I do know that they are called ‘smart’ in English!

The national target was to have smart meters installed everywhere by 2021, and since I rent my apartment, I did not want to obstruct progress and refuse the installation.

My issue however is with its use. I have two objections, one on principle and the other practical, and both have to do with privacy.

I will deal with the practical issue first. The application of smart meters is still quite new technology, and in various countries, has not enjoyed a problem-free introduction. Being old-school, I prefer to wait before jumping on a new bandwagon. As long as the meter shows me the reading, nothing has changed. I keep a record of the readings and I have no problem if the energy supplier wants to come and see for themselves what the reading is.

I have a simple home, with one gas boiler for heating and hot water, and one meter for the electricity. I cannot make use of systems to evaluate my usage – there is almost nothing I can do to reduce my use of energy on a daily basis. I do not need a meter to tell me that it would be cheaper to shower less, and I cannot adjust the heating per room, so I use common sense to set the single thermostat to the lowest setting I am comfortable with.

In short, the smart meter will tell me almost nothing I cannot work out for myself. How I live my life – when I use the heating and when I go on holiday – is nobody’s business but my own.

The other issue I have with the introduction of smart meters really does have to do with privacy. Not only have I yet to be convinced that the data obtained from my meter cannot be used by the wrong people, the network supplier has already broken their own rules regarding obtaining my consent!

To be clear on this, there are two other parties involved. The national company that deals with the pipes and cables, and associated meters (network supplier), and my chosen energy supplier, which I can change when I want to. The network supplier passes on data from the smart meter to the energy supplier – as long as the consumer has agreed to this.

The rules say that I, the consumer, must give express consent to this transfer of data. My network supplier already has two black marks here: the default setting upon installation of a smart meter is ‘on’, and they have at no time requested my permission to allow data transfer, neither does their website offer an option to register or amend your choice.

I do make use of online accounts. I have an online ‘My energy’ account with my energy supplier. Once logged in I can see what I have paid per month, and see the results per year. So far, so good.

Which of us has an extra ‘My network’ account? I do not. That figures, because you do not have one! You ‘log in’ each time with your address details and meter number. When you do that, in my case, there is no option to change the consent status for the transmission of data from my meter. Third black mark!

For years I worked for a consultancy company specialised in consent issues with health care. I learnt a thing or two about how consent is supposed to work. A supplier obliged to seek express consent cannot then provide no means of easily indicating that consent or otherwise. They certainly cannot assume consent on the basis of no objection, especially if they provide no mechanism for registering or amending your consent.

I have taken a first step and sent in a complaint to the network provider. Depending on their response, I will consider taking my complaint to the Dutch privacy watchdog: Authoriteit Persoonsgegevens, and possibly even the appropriate ombudsman. Privacy rules are there for a reason, and we let standards drop at our peril.

I will update this post when I have had a response to my complaint.

Brexit – the fat lady?

It isn’t over till the fat lady sings, they say. The generally refers to opera, but Brexit feels more than ever like a Greek tragedy.

It is 22nd October; by 31st December a trade deal has to be in place, agreed not only by the UK but by all the member states of the EU, or else it will be World Trade Organisation rules for the UK.

The UK feels it has preferred status since they were a member for 45 years. The EU doesn’t want to be seen doing favours for renegades. 15 all.

Britain wants to have the right to subsidise its own industries, thus destroying the level playing field concept behind EU trading rules. That won’t wash (as it stands); 15-30 to the EU.

On behalf of fishermen, the UK wants to restrict fishing rights to UK boats, who end up selling most of their prize catch back to Europe. We are not talking about cod or plaice here, the mainstay of fish and chip restaurants in the UK. They are caught outside of coastal waters. We are talking of delicacies less wanted by British restaurants but eagerly bought up by continental eateries. Protectionism – again not an EU trading principle; 15-40.

Arbitration should fall to the European Courts, says the EU; no, to the British courts says the UK. I somehow do not see the EU bowing to adjudications from a non-EU country; game to the EU.

Both sides are calling from compromise from the other. Boris Johnson does not want to lose face back home; “Give us a Canada deal!” Talk about comparing apples and pears! The EU does not want to give a ‘reward’ to a former member state for jumping ship and the refusal to pay further membership fees.

Does the EU chief negotiator want to be cast in the role of the father in the parable of the prodigal son? I doubt it.

The spin will go on for a long time after talks (probably) break down. The EU is left with a still considerable trading block, much bigger than it was than when the UK joined 45 years ago, and the UK will be left standing on its own.

The vote is open for driver of the day; I think Barnier should get the most votes. I like his new EU face mask with the yellow stars on it!

(With apologies for mixing several metaphors: opera, tennis and Formula 1)

Phone home!

There are places in this country where you cannot get good mobile phone reception. In the UK, a much larger country and with many more remote locations, the problems for rural communities are far worse.

Major phone companies are rolling out 5G – despite the ridiculous accusation that 5G causes corona – so that major cities and towns will have the best of the best.

Yet today there was a remarkable story in the press that Nokia – you remember, the company that terrorised us for years with their diddle-um-dum diddle-um-dum diddle-um-dum dum ringtone – want to be the first to put a GSM mast on the moon of all places!

With all the investment needed to carry out such a stunt, which would only really be useful to customers of Tesla and Virgin, they are only going to make 4G possible there. I would have expected 6G at least!!

So my travel tip is: if you are planning a trip to the moon, don’t count on being able to live-stream films in HD; take them with you instead.

Bankrupt?

We have all been reading about businesses winding up as a result of the corona restrictions, but that isn’t the only form of bankruptcy doing the rounds.

I have read two stories today in the Dutch press about the increased anxiety and depression among young people as a result of the same restrictions.

It isn’t that I particularly dispute the conclusions drawn, but I seriously question the circumstances. It is all too easy to blame the corona measures for reducing social contact with others, both at school and at parties and the like. Of course this is a serious situation – but not in itself one which we cannot get through if we approach it positively.

I would normally have gone to a birthday today. An old friend of mine turned 73 today and it is always open-house on their birthdays. I decided against it and sent flowers by Interflora instead. It saved me a phone call too! He called me when they were delivered and so we had a chat then instead of in their living room this afternoon. We simply made the best of a bad job.

Both the articles I read did refer to one crucial point: the situation at home is a key point. When parents create a happy home and teach their children vital truths like being patient and how to cope with setbacks, then the children will mostly respond in a positive way.

Not only did I grow up in a reasonably harmonious family, but I was introduced to religion too. Having some kind of religious belief, a faith which focusses on something outside of yourself and brings meaning to living in a society where we have to make room for others, also helps to cushion the effect of adversities.

I would be the last one to rationalise all mental health issues, but some of them can be exaggerated and exacerbated by the lack of a positive atmosphere in the home. That is the bankruptcy I am thinking of here.

I remember when the high school system was changed in the UK many years back. A test at age 11 determined if you could go to a grammar school (top 10%) or not. One of the arguments against that test was that children couldn’t cope with the disappointment of failing it. Grammar schools were slowly abolished; the more correct explanation of the test trying to match the right school with the right child was ignored.

We live in a land of plenty, the majority of us in reasonable comfort. Unfortunately that luxury brings with it a self-centredness which prevents some people from looking outward towards others. I was taught this by my parents, but I have the feeling fewer and fewer families manage to instil these values in the next generation.

Christmas is on the horizon, and it will be very different to past Christmases! No large family gatherings at the dinner table this year. No travelling long distances just to visit for the holidays. Instead of focussing on what we cannot do, or suddenly don’t have because of the impinging corona measures, ‘count your blessings’ instead. Church prayers in many denominational traditions put thanksgiving ahead of supplication in the liturgy, and for good reason.

I am reminded of a next door neighbour I had back in 1979. She must have been in her 80s and couldn’t walk without a stick. It didn’t help that her kitchen at the back had a step down from the dining room. Her daughter, as I recall, did not live close by and only visited from time to time. When Christmas was approaching, I wanted to invite her to our Christmas dinner, but she was a little intimidated even by the short trip between two houses, with several steps to negotiate as well.

In the end I came up with a solution. I cooked enough for her also and took each course into her on a tray as we got to it. She was delighted! She had her Christmas dinner, which she couldn’t have made for herself, but in the comfort of her own home. Even her daughter commented on it later.

A positive outlook on life does help to combat the feeling of being hard done by, and helps to build our defences against anxiety and depression. It may not ‘cure’ everybody, but it could stop corona and the resultant measures being used as a whipping-boy for everything which is seemingly being denied us at the present.

Should corona measures become law?

The Dutch government is at a bit of a crossroads at the moment. I use the metaphor deliberately.

The navigation system in my car warns me of traffic congestion ahead and plans an alternative route, often adding distance and time to my journey. When it is a route I often use, I take on board the traffic bulletins issued on the radio and use my knowledge of the various routes available to me to decide if I want to deviate from my normal route or not. Quite often I decide not to, and I find that it is quite possible to follow my original course without undue delays.

In July, the government issued its white paper on an emergency bill to enshrine anti-corona measures into (temporary) law. Nearly three months later – a delay partly caused by the parliamentary summer recess – the bill has been passed by the lower house and is awaiting its introduction in the upper house. The second chamber seems at first sight in no hurry to rush this onto the agenda, but I am beginning to think that there may well be wisdom in this.

An urgent letter signed by around 1.000 of the 75.000 Dutch GPs urges the government to reconsider the whole question of emergency powers. They do so based on a critical stance towards the measures already in use, but their argument against putting them into law are compelling.

When you consider that the government were considering these powers in months 3 and 4 of the pandemic, and we are now 3 or 4 months further, there is certainly cause to wonder if the necessity for emergency powers – as set out in the bill – has not changed a little in the meantime.

It is one thing to urge people to observe social distancing and the other measures set out in the current official advice, and leading by example; it is another to wrap the package in an emergency powers act in an attempt to mandate certain measures.

Such a bill should really only allow a government to deviate from economic plans, for example, and then only with the support of parliament. That kind of framework can be necessary inasmuch as current legislation doesn’t allow for it.

The letter from those GPs is also somewhat dated, to be honest. It was not written in the last week or so, which has seen rates of infection rising significantly again. It also mentioned that the highest mortality was among 80-plussers, as if that group were expendable. An unfortunate mix of information entirely. It also ignores the long-term effects on patients that have recovered from Covid-19. Some have found that their daily lives have been restricted by chronic tiredness and breathing pronlems.

It is a pandemic we are talking about. The Netherlands is not an island, and the struggle to contain corona is a worldwide effort. It is not only about shielding the Dutch health care system from undue strain, although that is important too. It is not about comparing numbers with ebola or the flu either.

Two recent events provide graphic examples of why we need common sense measures. The first I wrote about in my previous post – the football gathering in Tilburg which seems to be resulting in a sharp increase in positive test results. The other is the news that President Trump himself has Covid-19, partly, it would seem, as a result of not taking measures like social distancing seriously enough himself. Just look at the pictures of the presentation of the candidate High Court judge in the Rose Garden at the White House. The seats were not spaced according to distancing guidelines! We also read that Trump went on a couple of plane trips and had undistanced meetings with advisors even after having being in contact with people subsequently tested and found positive.

We need the measures based on distancing and masks, I am convinced of that. Restricting the size of gatherings and reducing licensing hours to curtail alcohol-influenced breaches of these common-sense rules are prudent. The should not be based solely on science, where interpretation is not always consistent. We have to consider this country in the context of Europe and the rest of the world too. We do not say to those above a certain age: you were going to go sometime and corona will possibly just shorten that wait.

Legal powers, however, need to be invoked with great restraint. “Act in haste, repent at leisure.”

Tilburg leads the way

In some ways, I’m almost grateful to the Mayor of Tilburg, less than 20 miles from where I live, for his recent error in judgement. He had given permission for the local football club to hold a gathering for fans wanting to watch their first European competition match in 15 years. There is an open space next to the stadium and hundreds of fans came along to encourage their team on to what turned out to be a 0-4 defeat at the hands of Rangers FC. This was some 9 days ago now.

Even though the distancing rules had been agreed and the crowd was warned in announcements over the P.A. system, there was shouting and singing and bunching up, and even a few brawls later on. Ultimately riot police had to break up the event and get people to go home.

There was the inevitable political hand-wringing and finger-pointing following that chaotic evening. The mayor has said that he would not make the same choice again if such a request for a permit were made again.

Today we have read that there is a significant spike in the positive corona test results specifically in Tilburg. This evidence is circumstantial but it is exceedingly likely that there is a link between that football gathering and the increase in the number of corona sufferers now. The timeline fits perfectly.

To my mind, if anyone still needed proof that measures like social distancing are necessary, this local incident provides just that. Fortunately it is hitting the national news and I really hope that people take note!

Unfortunately, contact-tracing here is more or less on the back burner. I would love to know how many of the new corona victims were actually at that football evening, and how many caught the infection from someone else who did go.